New opening of the Polish covered bond market

Jakub Niesłuchowski_croppedBy Jakub Niesłuchowski, Deputy CEO, PKO Bank Hipoteczny S.A.

On the 1st of January 2016 the new Polish Law on Covered Bonds and Mortgage Banks entered into force. This represents a fundamental change of the legal framework for mortgage banks and covered bonds.

In the period between 1997-2015, the business of Polish mortgage banks and covered bond issuances had not developed as originally expected due to a number of factors such as cheap funding from parent banks abroad for mortgage lending, internal competition between universal and mortgage banks, and – last but not least – constraints resulting from existing laws. Hence, the new law creates a unique window of opportunity for the dynamic expansion of the covered bond market. The amended law will substantially improve the covered bond market in Poland in at least three major areas:

1. Increase of credibility and safety of covered bonds.
2. Extension of covered bond supply.
3. Extension of demand for covered bonds.

The credibility and safety of Polish covered bonds is improved mainly through the introduction of the  conditional pass-through structure. The changes implemented to the Polish regulations are in line with  the best market practices and with recommendations  of the European Central Bank (ECB) and credit rating  agencies. According to the new regulations, upon  declaration of a mortgage bank’s insolvency, the  maturity of the bank’s obligations as an issuer of covered bonds is extended immediately by 12 months and the Asset Coverage Test and Liquidity Tests are applicable to determine repayment of interest and principal. Should the bank fail either of the tests, repayments will switch to a pass-through structure whereby the maturity of all bonds will be extended to the longest dated asset plus three years. Such a solution substantially reduces repayment risk to investors.

Other changes introduce a minimum legal overcollateralisation requirement at the level of 10% and a mandatory liquidity reserve funded by mortgage banks using cash or eligible securities covering at least six months of interest due on the covered bonds outstanding.

PKO Bank figures 1 and 2

The law amendment implemented on the 1st of January 2016 should also support the supply of Polish covered bonds. According to the new regulations, the refinancing limit for mortgage covered bonds has been increased from 60% to 80% of Mortgage Lending Value for residential property, which is also in line with the CRR definition of exposures in the form of covered bonds. Additionally, the amended law should also stimulate demand due to the introduction of the exemption of foreign investors in covered bonds from withholding tax on all payments made under the covered bonds, and by implementation of the separate limit for investments in covered bonds made by domestic pension funds and credit unions.

The new law, which was widely discussed with the banking sector, the Polish Financial Supervision Authority and rating agencies during the legislation process, is a very robust basis for the stable development of the Polish covered bond market. All these elements increase the safety, soundness and the quality of the Polish covered bond market as they increase the potential to reach the rating at the level of the country ceiling (Aa3 for Poland in the case of Moody’s).

High Potential of Polish Covered Bond Market

Poland is the largest country in Central Europe, with a population close to 39 million, and one of the biggest Member States of European Union. It has over 13.8 million dwellings spread across the country. Many of them are financed by mortgage loans, the outstanding level reaches almost PLN 400 bn. (EUR 93 bn.), of which c. 60% is denominated in PLN. However, there are still high housing needs and they are financed in a large part by mortgage loans. The housing deficit, as reflected in dwellings per 1,000 inhabitants, is 446 per 1,000 in Poland, while other countries such as Germany or the Czech Republic operate at the c. 550-600 level (based on 2014 data). The volume of mortgage loans in Poland has been steadily growing over the last 25 years but in relation to GDP it is still far behind EU average (20% vs. 50%).

PKO Bank figures 3 and 4

The new legal framework, steady and dynamic development of residential mortgage loan volumes by continuous new sales based on PLN denominated loans, creates high potential for Polish covered bonds and a unique opportunity both for issuers and investors. Banking groups, especially those having subsidiary mortgage banks, can leverage these synergies by transferring portfolios from universal to mortgage banks and directing at least part of  their new sales to mortgage banks and finance  them by issuance of covered bonds.

Another important factor stimulating the covered bond market are the limitations on funding from  international mother companies and the increasing need of Polish banks to find a new, long-term and stable source of financing, including meeting new funding requirements such as the Net Stable Funding Requirement (NSFR).

This is only the beginning of the story. There have already been a few issues of covered bonds in 2016 under the new law, but these have been predominantly allocated to domestic investors. However, the Polish jurisdiction can now significantly increase the supply of covered bonds by offering it also to international investors.

PKO Bank figure 5

PKO Bank Hipoteczny

PKO BP, the biggest Polish credit institution, established PKO Mortgage Bank (PKO Bank Hipoteczny), which began its operational activity in April 2015. PKO Group has the leading position in residential mortgages having a c. 25% share in outstanding volume and new sales. Its current portfolio includes c. PLN 60 bn. (EUR 14 bn.) of residential mortgages denominated in PLN. Part of this portfolio is being transferred from PKO Bank Polski to PKO Bank Hipoteczny and together with new sales directed to PKO Bank Hipoteczny, they will be financed by covered bonds.

PKO Bank Hipoteczny has successfully established a domestic covered bond programme and issued the first benchmark covered bonds in Poland secured only by residential mortgage loans denominated in PLN. Due to high quality of the cover pool and the new regulatory regime, Moody’s has assigned to PKO Bank Hipoteczny covered bonds the highest possible rating for Polish financial instruments at the level of Aa3 (Country ceiling level). PKO Bank Hipoteczny has already started work on establishing an international programme and is planning to become a regular covered bonds issuer on the European market.

This article was originally published in the May 2016 edition of the EMF-ECBC Market Insights & Updates Newsletter.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s